Pronounced loss of Amazon rainforest resilience since the early 2000s

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There is widespread concern about the resilience of the Amazon rainforest to land-use change and climate change. The Amazon is recognized as a potential tipping element in the Earth’s climate system.

We use a stability indicator used to predict the approach of a dynamical system towards a bifurcation-induced critical transition.

We directly analyse observational data for signs of resilience loss in the Amazon. The report investigates how its resilience has changed over the last three decades in terms of a changing changing vegetation system. For comparison, the report also investigates changes in variance, as a secondary indicator.